[Mir Global Wine Corner Analysis] – HKTDC article, “China’s wine imports slowing.”
China’s wine imports are slowing reports HKTDC in this article. Wine imports increased a incredible 100% between 2006-2007 but slowed between 2008-2009, growing only 36%. None the less, total imports reached a impressive 6,389,439 cases, or 76,673,268 bottles of wine, making China the world’s largest wine import market (once again according to this HKTDC article).
Despite the slow down, the macro picture of China’s wine market is still overwhelming positive for wine exporters, especially for lower cost producers in the Southern Hemisphere.
The challenge for Argentinean and Chilean producers will be to figure out a way in which to take advantage of a more conservative and cost conscious Chinese consumer in the midst of the global economic downturn.
The HKTDC article, is of the opinion that the biggest winner from slowing wine imports will be China’s domestic producers. While this may be partially true, Mir Global Marketing Co., attributes the rise in the consumption of domestically produced Chinese wine to other far more significant market factors.
1) The global slowdown has forced consumers around the world to cut back on luxury spending and to be more cost conscious. For the Chinese wine consumer who has yet to develop their wine pallet and is exploring wine for their first time, it makes sense they would economically rationalize to spend 20 rmb on a Chinese bottle versus 120 rmb on a French bottle.
2) Wine demand in China can partially be attributed to the symbolism behind wine. As the great American author Ernest Hemingway once said, “Wine is the most civilized thing in the world.” If you are a Chinese consumer who has yet to develop your personal wine preferences and are trying to network in the business or political world where it is a good thing to appear “sophisticated,” you might be able to accomplish this with a Chinese bottle of wine. So, why invest in a expensive French or Italian bottle of wine?
Although, if a lower-middle class university student was about to meet with the head of Google’s Recruiting Office in Beijing, and had never tasted wine in his/her life, I think it would justify dipping into your savings for a French bottle of wine. But, if you’re simply going out for a nice drink with some friends on a Friday night to the Beijing’s bar district, splitting a bottle of French wine when you don’t know what you’re tasting will not be a common site.
To further explain:
A considerable amount of wine demand in China is generated from a new elite class of consumers with considerable spending power who can afford expensive wines and liquors. This includes, the rising class of sophisticated, metropolitan consumers in cities like Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou. Businessmen and women. Politicians. Wealthy university students. Chinese who have lived abroad. And of course, foreigners living or visiting China.
However, the majority of China’s new wine consumers can not afford to indulge in relatively expensive bottles of wine, especially in times of economic uncertainty. What is more likely to occur is the new middle class consumers in 2nd and 3rd tier Chinese cities like Harbin, Dalian, Suzhou, Chongqing, Kunming, Taiyuan, etc will attempt to emulate (the best they can) China’s new class of rising elites.
This has been the case in societies around the world since the dawn of civilization.
The main difficulty for Argentine and Chilean producers at the moment is convincing the very brand conscious Chinese to trust the quality of their products. France remains synonymous with quality when it comes to wine, while wines from Italy, Australia and Chile have had to struggle for years to build a trusting image with Chinese consumers.
Opportunity has come knocking at the door. Before you answer, just make sure you and your company are ready.
Bennett Reiss – International Trade Consultant at Mir Global Marketing Co.
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China’s Wine Imports Slowing — HKTDC
“China has always been the biggest market of wine imports globally. However, the situation is changing. With the rise of China’s domestic wine production, China’s import of wine is on a downward turn.
After world renowned brands Hennessy, Remy Martin and Martell, Courvoisier’s Napoleon wine, one the four top-class brands of wine in the world has announced its formal entry into the Chinese market. Not long ago, Hennessy announced the debut of its Iridescence, a world classic type X.O. on the China market, alleging that China was its biggest consumption market for the first time.
Although various brands of imported wine products have poured into China’s market, the import growth has slowed down. According to statistics from the customs, China’s import of packed wine of less than two litres slowed down its growth last year, and the import of wine in packaging of more than two litres has stayed at the same level for three successive years. After hefty rises of about 100% in the 2006-2007 period, China’s import of wine was 6,389,439 cases of packages of less than two litres (nine litres per case), rising 36% year on year.
The increase of raw materials for wine production has weakened China’s dependence on import. With the expansion of planting areas for grapes, the raw materials for wine production have increased gradually. However, with increasing expansion of China’s wine market, there will be more and more foreign brands of wine entering the China market, indicating more fierce competition for China’s wine- making industry in the coming years. “
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